Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.087709e-02 0.023129 0.025378 0.027789 0.030292 0.032811 0.035531
2025-02-23 1.643662e-02 0.019993 0.023677 0.027748 0.032092 0.036568 0.041504
2025-03-02 1.325663e-02 0.017590 0.022226 0.027479 0.033203 0.039200 0.045910
2025-03-09 1.094529e-02 0.015800 0.021150 0.027346 0.034213 0.041502 0.049746
2025-03-16 8.761326e-03 0.013901 0.019750 0.026673 0.034469 0.042844 0.052407
2025-03-23 7.384132e-03 0.012794 0.019128 0.026761 0.035467 0.044908 0.055765
2025-03-30 5.968320e-03 0.011489 0.018166 0.026368 0.035848 0.046222 0.058235
2025-04-06 4.609240e-03 0.010103 0.017003 0.025660 0.035800 0.047000 0.060058
2025-04-13 3.228143e-03 0.008502 0.015462 0.024415 0.035067 0.046951 0.060910
2025-04-20 2.726373e-03 0.008086 0.015374 0.024881 0.036284 0.049074 0.064154
2025-04-27 1.954489e-03 0.007135 0.014527 0.024375 0.036327 0.049835 0.065844
2025-05-04 1.254568e-03 0.006140 0.013549 0.023654 0.036078 0.050229 0.067093
2025-05-11 8.335971e-04 0.005601 0.013257 0.023908 0.037139 0.052302 0.070447
2025-05-18 4.169760e-04 0.004896 0.012705 0.023844 0.037854 0.054029 0.073477
2025-05-25 1.177895e-04 0.004163 0.012037 0.023588 0.038310 0.055434 0.076126
2025-06-01 5.755459e-07 0.003563 0.011500 0.023463 0.038896 0.056966 0.078897
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002816 0.010626 0.022833 0.038820 0.057693 0.080716
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002425 0.010295 0.022916 0.039611 0.059425 0.083676
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001915 0.009670 0.022549 0.039810 0.060434 0.085781
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001377 0.008870 0.021886 0.039604 0.060937 0.087278
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000795 0.007776 0.020726 0.038716 0.060591 0.087760
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000683 0.007760 0.021160 0.039887 0.062722 0.091129
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000403 0.007169 0.020688 0.039854 0.063378 0.092756